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In this paper we study various methods for detecting the co integrating rank as the number of variables gets large. We show that the use of standard tools will always lead to misleading inferences in such settings due to excessive size distortions. Particularly the LR test tends to produce too...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005042913
We propose a new Information Criterion for Impulse Response Function Matching estimators of the structural parameters of macroeconomic models. The main advantage of our procedure is that it allows the researcher to select the impulse responses that are most informative about the deep parameters,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787377
Picking one ‘winner’ model for researching a certain phenomenon while discarding the rest implies a confidence that may misrepresent the evidence. Multimodel inference allows researchers to more accurately represent their uncertainty about which model is ‘best’. But multimodel inference,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503704
The CRIX (CRyptocurrency IndeX) has been constructed based on approximately 30 cryptos and captures high coverage of available market capitalisation. The CRIX index family covers a range of cryptos based on di erent liquidity rules and various model selection criteria. Details of ECRIX (Exact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011530070
Crypto-currencies have developed a vibrant market since bitcoin, the rst crypto-currency, was created in 2009. We look at the properties of cryptocurrencies as financial assets in a broad cross-section. We discuss approaches of altcoins to generate value and their trading and information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544978
The S&P500 or DAX30 are important benchmarks for the financial industry. The first mimics the performance of the major US on the NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ, while the second does the same for the German Prime Share sector. These and other indices describe different compositions of certain segments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011481648
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230426
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In this article we examine how model selection in neural networks can be guided by statistical procedures such as hypotheses tests, information criteria and cross validation. The application of these methods in neural network models is discussed, paying attention especially to the identification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622013
As mixture regression models increasingly receive attention from both theory and practice, the question of selecting the correct number of segments gains urgency. A misspecification can lead to an under- or oversegmentation, thus resulting in flawed management decisions on customer targeting or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441542