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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
Recently introduced measure for Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) seems to have a role to play in forecasting out …-2016. Inclusion of EPU measures either for the US, UK or overall European economies improves the forecasting ability of models based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962828
The U.S. Subprime Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession have highlighted a renewed interest in the proper design and implementation of Early Warning Systems (E.W.S.), in order to help deter the onset of subsequent extreme financial events, through the implementation of adequate crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347094
During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265233
During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832101
or quarterly data supplied by central statistical agencies for macroeconomic modelling and forecasting. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641311
Following the winter recession and stagnation in the second quarter of 2023, the economic upswing is proceeding at a sluggish pace, contrary to expectations over the summer. Weak foreign demand and ongoing inflation have proven to be slowing economic growth. For the time being, private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362798
The unequal distribution of labor income in Germany is a hotly debated topic among policymakers and the general public alike. However, the relevant data for calculating the distribution is usually available with a delay of sometimes over two years. Accordingly, previous studies have only been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431177