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This paper provides an outlook for the Indian economy in the light of the extraordinary global financial crisis, that started in the US, but which has now transformed into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Indian economy was slowing down even before the onset of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807640
Despite signs of recovery from the global financial crisis, the GDP growth rate for the Indian economy is likely to be between 5.8 to 6.1 per cent in 2009-10, below the 6.7 per cent recorded in fiscal 2008-09. While there has been an improvement in Indian industry, particularly the manufacturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807647
The global economic crisis precipitated by the US financial collapse has spread to India first in the financial markets and has now started impacting the real economy. India was hit by the global crisis at a time when the economy was already slowing down and the crisis has brought the growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011139067
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
Turkey was not affected by the financial crisis as much as the advanced economies and managed to rapidly exit the turmoil. The reasons behind the strong response and quick recovery of the Turkish economy were its low country risk and low currency risk premiums. This study shows the foundations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647438
of policy measures to get the Indian economy back on the path of sustained rapid and inclusive growth. -- Forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817276
of the historical forecasting track record, but distinguish between a "safe" regime and a "downturn-risk" regime. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823611
capital account surplus because of the appreciation of the rupee. -- Forecasting Indian Economic Growth ; Economic Outlook and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003899434
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
This paper attempts to develop a financial vulnerability indicator for China as a barometer for the state of financial vulnerability in the Chinese financial market, possibly for real-time application. Twelve variables from different sectors are utilised to extract a common vulnerability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012505627