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Causal effects of a policy change on hazard rates of a duration outcome variable are not identified from a comparison of spells before and after the policy change if there is unobserved heterogeneity in the effects and no model structure is imposed. We develop a discontinuity approach that...
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perform matching estimations to analyse the treatment effect on the treated. In the cross-section estimation, we find …-participants. Therefore, we combine matching with difference-in-difference estimation (to control for unobserved heterogeneity), Doing so, we … matching estimation can be decomposed into a causal effect (6%-points), correlated unobserved heterogeneity and negative spill …
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