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for improving our understanding of the risk of hedge funds. At the same time, research has sprung up that applies standard … performance and risk assessment. After constructing Bayesian estimators for alpha-stable distributions in the context of an ARMA …-GARCH time series model with stable innovations, we compare our risk evaluation and prediction results to the predictions of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008653564
lab experimental practice: In one task, attitude towards risk is measured, in another task participants behave in a way … that can possibly be explained by their risk attitude. How should we deal with inconsistent behaviour in the risk task …
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In this paper we expand the literature of risk neutral density estimation across maturities from implied volatility … curves, usually estimated and interpolated through cubic smoothing splines. The risk neutral densities are computed through … implied curves and risk neutral densities not only across different option maturities, but also dynamically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020748
It is well known that estimated mean-variance portfolios deliver, on average, poor out-of-sample performance. A lesser-known fact that we characterize in this paper is that their out-of-sample performance is also very volatile. Using our analytical characterization of out-of-sample performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226237
Model uncertainty has become a central focus of policy discussion surrounding the determinants of economic growth. Over 140 regressors have been employed in growth empirics due to the proliferation of several new growth theories in the past two decades. Recently Bayesian model averaging (BMA)...
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