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The monetary authorities need a future measure of inflation trend to keep on tracking the inflation on target. Many … alternatives of the core inflation measure have appeared in the recent literature pretending to avoid the deficiencies of the usual … headline inflation index as a predictor. This price index is defined as some weighted average of the individual price change of …
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employing the Kalman filter. The time-varying cointegration parameters suggest that the security measures indeed impacted price …
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We consider an observation-driven location model where the unobserved location variable is modeled as a random walk process and where the error variable is from a mixture of normal distributions. The mixed normal distribution can approximate many continuous error distributions accurately. We...
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