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The purpose of this work is to study the statistical properties of the MDD for stochastic processes characterized by the stylized facts of real financial time series. The numerical results obtained using a Monte Carlo code are firstly validated against the analytical predictions available within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091084
Infra-monthly time series have increasingly appeared on the radar of official statistics in recent years, mostly as a consequence of a general digital transformation process and the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Many of those series are seasonal and thus in need for seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077815
Ordinary least squares regression residuals have a distribution that is dependent on a scale parameter. The term 'Studentization' is commonly used to describe a scale parameter dependent quantity U by a scale estimate S such that the resulting ratio, U/S, has a distribution that is free of from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132787
The problem of multicollinearity in the assessments of coefficients is well established. However, it is rarely researched in the estimations of macroeconomic variables and economic performance of developing countries. Predicatively, it has impacts on the estimations of coefficients that should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014179444
A new quantile regression estimator is developed and it is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. The estimator is based on estimating functions to which one can obtain consistent roots by finding the minimax of a certain deviance function. This function is conveniently constructed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127413
Traditional specifications of export equations incorporate foreign demand as a demand pull factor and the real exchange rate as a relative price variable. However, such standard export equations have failed to explain the export performance of euro area countries during the crisis period. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195462
Traditional specifications of export equations incorporate foreign demand as a demand pull factor and the real exchange rate as a relative price variable. However, such standard export equations have failed to explain the export performance of euro area countries during the crisis period. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255111
Predictive regressions are linear specifications linking a noisy variable such as stock returns to past values of a more persistent regressor with the aim of assessing the presence of predictability. Key complications that arise are the potential presence of endogeneity and the poor adequacy of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130031
This article provides an introduction to methods and challenges underlying application of the bootstrap in econometric modelling of economic and financial time series. Validity, or asymptotic validity, of the bootstrap is discussed as this is a key element in deciding whether the bootstrap is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835479
This paper proposes a new time-varying parameter regression called the autoregressive conditional parameter (ACP) model. The model allows for time-varying conditional parameters such as the regression coefficients (beta coefficients), mean/intercept, variance, duration, skewness and kurtosis. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969761