Taking a Bayesian perspective on model uncertainty for static panel data models proposed in the spatial econometrics literature considerably simplifies the task of selecting an appropriate model. A wide variety of alternative specifications that include various combinations spatial dependence in...

En este trabajo se determina el potencial de valorización del metro cuadrado de suelo (metro cuadrado del lote) de los barrios de la ciudad de Barranquilla (Colombia), a partir de datos mensuales para el periodo comprendido entre 2001 y 2011. Se utiliza información de avalúos inmobiliarios,...

Using Monte Carlo simulations, this paper evaluates the bias properties of common estimators used in growth regressions derived from the Solow model. We explicitly allow for measurement error in the right-hand side variables, as well as country-specific effects that are correlated with the...

We propose theory-based Monte Carlo simulations to quantify the extent to which the estimated speed of convergence depends on the underlying econometric techniques. Based on a theoretical growth model as the data generating process, we find that, given a true speed of convergence of around 5%,...

A problematic outcome of the cross sectional study of convergence is that developing economies are often estimated to be above their steady states, implying that they have too much capital per worker. This paper introduces a method to estimate steady states in a way that can explain this...

We illustrate the sensitivity of two-way fixed effects difference-indifferences estimates to innocuous changes in data structure. Using the staggered rollout of state-level bank branching deregulations, three outcome variables are brought to bear on the interventions: personal income growth (a...

This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...