We propose a monitoring procedure to detect a structural change from stationary to integrated behavior. When the procedure is applied to the errors of a relationship between integrated series it thus monitors a structural change from a cointegrating relationship to a spurious regression. The...

Time series is a collection of observations made at regular time intervals and its analysis refers to problems in correlations among successive observations. Time series analysis is applied in all areas of statistics but some of the most important include macroeconomic and financial time series....

This note gives a fairly complete statistical description of the Hodrick-Prescott Filter (1997), originally proposed by Leser (1961). It builds on an approach to seasonal adjustment suggested by Leser (1963) and Schlicht (1981, 1984). A moments estimator for the smoothing parameter is proposed...

It has been frequently observed in the literature that many multivariate statistical methods require the covariance or dispersion matrix S of an elliptical distribution only up to some scaling constant. If the topic of interest is not the scale but only the shape of the elliptical distribution,...

The aim of this paper is to analyse the evolution of manufacturing in 11 OECD countries: 9 European Countries, the United States and Japan, during the period 1975-92, from two economi approaches: supply and demand. With this purpose we estimate, with a pool of data, two econometric models for...