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This short paper is a comment on ``Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time Series'' by Catherine Kyrtsou and Apostolos Serletis. We summarize their main results and discuss some of their conclusions concerning the role of outliers and noisy chaos. In particular, we include...
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bias (systematic mistakes) or noise (unsystematic mistakes). We develop a framework for quantifying the level of noise in … structure for individual expectations. Using data from professional forecasters, we find that the magnitude of noise is large …
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This thesis is concerned with simulation output analysis. In particular, we are inter-ested in estimating the variance parameter of a steady-state output process. The estimationof the variance parameter has immediate applications in problems involving (i) the precisionof the sample mean as a...
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