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empirical work is illustrated by two applications to euro area data on inflation, output and interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320327
Vector autoregressive moving-average (VARMA) processes are suitable models for producing linear forecasts of sets of time series variables. They provide parsimonious representations of linear data generation processes. The setup for these processes in the presence of stationary and cointegrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023700
employing the Kalman filter. The time-varying cointegration parameters suggest that the security measures indeed impacted price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356541
We consider VAR models for variables exhibiting cointegration and common cyclical features. While the presence of … cointegration reduces the rank of the long-run multiplier matrix, other types of common features lead to rank reduction of the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398127
Vector autoregressions have steadily gained in popularity since their introduction in econometrics 25 years ago. A drawback of the otherwise fairly well developed methodology is the inability to incorporate prior beliefs regarding the system's steady state in a satisfactory way. Such prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585058
variables may be fractionally integrated and the predictive relation may feature cointegration, we provide sup-Wald break tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831312
Norway experienced a high immigration flow after the EEA directive in 2004 stating workers right to free movement within the European Union and EEA-countries. There is no clear consensus in the literature on how immigration affects native wages, but some studies using Norwegian micro data have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966811
Norway experienced a high immigration flow after the EEA directive in 2004 stating workers right to free movement within the European Union and EEA-countries. There is no clear consensus in the literature on how immigration affects native wages, but some studies using Norwegian micro data have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974824
cointegration rank, and a hypothesis test to examine the parameter stability. To validate the theoretical findings, we conduct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354358
We consider cointegration rank estimation for a p-dimensional Fractional Vector Error Correction Model. We propose a … levels. The first step consists in estimating the parameters of the model under the null hypothesis of the cointegration rank … r=1,2,...,p-1. This step provides consistent estimates of the order of fractional cointegration, the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244531