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Testing for constant expected returns and forecasting future returns necessitate the information beyond a single predictor. We consider the predictive regression model with multiple predictors which are potentially strongly persistent and cointegrated. Instrumental variables based tests for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919518
We develop a simulation-based procedure to test for stock return predictability with multiple regressors. The process governing the regressors is left completely free and the test procedure remains valid in small samples even in the presence of non-normalities and GARCH-type effects in the stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618038
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991257
of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a … is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including tests for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001731828
of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a … is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including tests for …In diesem Papier schlagen wir exakte likelihood-basierte Tests auf Mittelwert-Varianz- Effizienz im Rahmen des CAPM vor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431982
We develop theory of a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme deploys i.i.d. resampling of smoothed moment …-applied first- and higher-order correct methods. The results provide numerical evidence that the novel bootstrap yields higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179669
price of risk of a candidate factor is equal to zero. Different from earlier studies, our bootstrap approach puts all tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220273
We propose exact simulation-based procedures for: (i) testing mean-variance efficiency when the zero-beta rate is unknown, and (ii) building confidence intervals for the zero-beta rate. On observing that this parameter may be weakly identified, we propose LR-type statistics as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130243
This paper investigates, both in finite samples and asymptotically, statistical inference on predictive regressions where time series are generated by present value models of asset prices. We show that regression-based tests, including optimal robust tests such as Jasson and Moreira's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132892
different bootstrap tests. In the context of static linear regression modelstwo of these are shown to have serious size and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011325661