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Remotely sensed measurements and other machine learning predictions are increasingly used in place of direct observations in empirical analyses. Errors in such measures may bias parameter estimation, but it remains unclear how large such biases are or how to correct for them. We leverage a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537755
This paper considers bootstrap inference in model averaging for predictive regressions. We firstshow that a naïve bootstrap approach, which consists of stacking all residuals at time t into a vector, and then resampling these cross-sectional vectors of residuals over time is invalid in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308182
This paper shows that polynomial sieve estimators can predict arbitrary continuous functions on closed and bounded subsets of the reals. These predictions can be arbitrarily close irrespective of whether the sieve is estimated on the full domain or a strict and non-dense subset of the domain....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014140156
Background: The increased availability of claims data allows one to build high dimensional datasets, rich in covariates, for accurately estimating treatment effects in medical and epidemiological cohort studies. This paper shows the full potential of machine learning for the estimation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908991
The topic of this chapter is forecasting with nonlinear models. First, a number of well-known nonlinear models are … linear model. There exist relatively large studies in which the forecasting performance of nonlinear models is compared with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023698
In this paper we present, propose and examine additional membership functions as also we propose least squares with genetic algorithms optimization in order to find the optimum fuzzy membership functions parameters. More specifically, we present the tangent hyperbolic, Gaussian and Generalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138752
In this paper we present a very brief description of least mean square algorithm with applications in time-series analysis of economic and financial time series. We present some numerical applications; forecasts for the Gross Domestic Product growth rate of UK and Italy, forecasts for S&P 500...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138755
In this paper we examine feed-forward neural networks using genetic algorithms in the training process instead of error backpropagation algorithm. Additionally real encoding is preferred to binary encoding as it is more appropriate to find the optimum weights. We use learning and momentum rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138757
efficient alternative tool for forecasting. The MATLAB algorithm we propose is provided in appendix for further applications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126947
In this paper we present, propose and examine additional membership functions as also we propose least squares with genetic algorithms optimization in order to find the optimum fuzzy membership functions parameters. More specifically, we present the tangent hyperbolic, Gaussian and Generalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126949