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What is Statistics? Opinions vary. In fact, there is a continuous spectrum of attitudes toward statistics ranging from pure theoreticians, proving asymptotic efficiency and searching for most powerful tests, to wild practitioners, blindly reporting p-values and claiming statistical significance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927199
This paper studies the estimation of dynamic covariance matrices with multiple conditioning variables, where the matrix size can be ultra large (divergent at an exponential rate of the sample size). We introduce an easy-to-implement semiparametric method to estimate each entry of the covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915138
We study the efficient estimation of nonparametric regressions with conditional heteroskedasticity in a time series setting. We introduce a weighted local polynomial regression smoother that takes account of the dynamic heteroskedasticity. The effect of weighting on nonparametric regressions is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004681
This paper formulates dynamic density functions, based upon skewed-t and similar representations, to model and forecast electricity price spreads between different hours of the day. This supports an optimal day ahead storage and discharge schedule, and thereby facilitates a bidding strategy for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014107616
In order to discuss nonlinear, it is necessary to know linear regressive as a priori. Without simple regression as the starting point, it would be difficult to understand nonlinear regression. In words, in order to understand the curve and the behavior of a curve, it is necessary to known a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076070
This paper presents a short survey on limit theorems for certain functionals of semimartingales, which are observed at high frequency. Our aim is to explain the main ideas of the theory to a broader audience. We introduce the concept of stable convergence, which is crucial for our purpose. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155852
This paper develops optimal estimation of a potentially non-differentiable functional Γβ of a regular parameter β, when Γ satisfies certain conditions. Primary examples are min or max functionals that frequently appear in the analysis of partially identified models. This paper investigates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142864
Indirect Inference (I‐I) estimation of structural parameters θ requires matching observed and simulated statistics, which are most often generated using an auxiliary model that depends on instrumental parameters β. The estimators of the instrumental parameters will encapsulate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202226
In this paper, we study the statistical properties of heterogeneous agent models with incomplete markets. Using a Bewley-Hugget-Aiyagari model we compute the equilibrium density function of wealth and show how it can be used for likelihood inference. We investigate the identifiability of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745280
This paper considers issues related to identification, inference, and computation in linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. We first provide a necessary and sufficient condition for the local identification of the structural parameters based on the (first and) second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756473