Showing 1 - 10 of 40,019
The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and GARCH(1,1) models fitted to twenty plus … years of daily data for three indices. As a benchmark, I use the realized volatility (RV) for the S&P 500, DOW JONES and … volatility models, if the simple expedient of using lagged squared demeaned daily returns provides a better RV predictor, at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384599
market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of … to identify the best fit model that can predict the volatility of return of Bitcoin, which is in high demand as an … the residuals of the average equation model selected have ARCH effect. Volatility of Bitcoin return series after detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
daily realized volatility data of Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) and several other indices, we obtained good performance … heterogeneous autoregressive and other models of realized volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989
This paper proposes an extension to threshold-type switching models that lets the threshold variable be a linear combination of exogenous variables with unknown coefficients. An algorithm to estimate the model's parameters by least squares is provided and the validity of the methodological...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974826
We introduce a dynamic statistical model for Skellam distributed random variables. The Skellam distribution can be obtained by taking differences between two Poisson distributed random variables. We treat cases where observations are measured over time and where possible serial correlation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253460
In the class of univariate conditional volatility models, the three most popular are the generalized autoregressive … effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative effects of equal magnitude, and possibly also leverage, which is … the negative correlation between returns shocks and subsequent shocks to volatility (see Black 1979). McAleer (2014 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688332
-Leibler divergence in empirically relevant settings. We illustrate the theory with an application to time-varying volatility models. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340740
Semi-parametric estimators for non-Gaussian GARCH processes based on Feasible Weighted Least Squares (FWLS) are proposed. The estimators are consistent and do not require the specification of the innovations distribution family. The FWLS estimators incorporate information related to the skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978175
volatility of the Standard and Poors 500 index among recent extensions of the heterogeneous autoregressive model. While we find …, improvements achieved by the inclusion of implied volatility turn out to be insignificant. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430242
This study examines the volatility persistence and asymmetry with exogenous breaks in Nigerian stock market. The study … incorporation of structural breaks while estimating volatility in the Nigerian stock market. This will help to avoid over …-estimation of volatility shocks and restore investor's confidence in the stock market. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922754