Integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) processes have been introduced to model nonnegative integer-valued phenomena that evolve over time. The distribution of an INAR(p) process is essentially described by two parameters: a vector of autoregression coefficients and a probability distribution on...

This paper studies nonparametric estimation of conditional moment models in which the residual functions could be nonsmooth with respect to the unknown functions of endogenous variables. It is a problem of nonparametric nonlinear instrumental variables (IV) estimation, and a difficult nonlinear...

In this paper I propose a novel optimal linear filter for smoothing, trend and signal extraction for time series with a unit root. The filter is based on the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) methodology, takes the form of a particular moving average and is different from other linear filters...

Most DSGE models and methods make inappropriate asymmetric information assumptions. They assume that all economic agents have full access to measurement of all variables and past shocks, whereas the econometricians have no access to this. An alternative assumption is that there is symmetry, in...

This paper studies an approximation method for the log likelihood function of a non-linear diffusion process using the bridge of the diffusion. The main result (Theorem 1) shows that this approximation converges uniformly to the unknown likelihood function and can therefore be used efficiently...

In empirical work on multivariate financial time series, it is common to postulate a Multivariate GARCH model. We show that the popular Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of MGARCH models is very sensitive to outliers in the data. We propose to use robust M-estimators and provide...

Estimating structural models is often viewed as computationally difficult, an impression partly due to a focus on the nested fixed-point (NFXP) approach. We propose a new constrained optimization approach for structural estimation. We show that our approach and the NFXP algorithm solve the same...

This paper extends the existing literature on linear quadratic adjustment cost (LQAC) models under rational expectations to the inferential issues arising when: (i) agents optimise with respect to a vector of endogenous variables; (ii) the behavioural equations stemming from the agent's...

In this paper, we investigate the information content of implied probabilities (Back and Brown, 1993) to improve estimation in unconditional moment conditions models. We propose and evaluate two 3-step euclidian empirical likelihood estimators and their bias-correction versions for weakly...

Missing data are frequently encountered in the statistical analysis of randomized experiments. In this paper, I propose statistical methods that can be used to analyze randomized experiments with a nonignorable missing binary outcome where the missing-data mechanism may depend on the unobserved...