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This paper proposes a novel asymptotic least-squares estimator of multi-country Gaussian dynamic term structure models that is easy to compute and asymptotically efficient, even when the number of countries is relatively large - a situation in which other recently proposed approaches lose their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777912
) implied covariance forecasting. Finally, we highlight the important issue of the estimation error of the co-variance matrix in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113253
Deciding whether a time series that appears nonstationary is in fact fractionally integrated or subject to structural change is a diffcult task. However, various tests have recently been introduced for distinguishing long memory from level shifts and nonlinearity. In this paper, three testing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724409
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Since the mid-1970's, the unbiased forward rate hypothesis (UFRH) of forward and spot exchange rates has been intensively studied and tested with inconclusive and contradictory results. On the basis of the hypothesis, this paper provides variable mean response (VMR) random coefficients models to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004231
Over the last decade, the microstructure approach to exchange rates has become very popular. The underlying idea of this approach is that the order flows at different levels of aggregation contain valuable information to explain exchange rate movements. The bulk of empirical literature has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008746440
, respectively denoted by USD/EUR, USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY, are used. The maximum likelihood estimation method is implemented after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836819