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This paper proposes a threshold stochastic conditional duration (SCD) model for financial data at the transaction level …. In addition to assuming that the innovations of the duration process follow a threshold distribution with positive … parameters directly. Duration forecasting is constructed by using an auxiliary particle filter based on the fitted models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032709
This paper proposes a threshold stochastic conditional duration (TSCD) model to capture the asymmetric property of … financial transactions. The innovation of the observable duration equation is assumed to follow a threshold distribution with … assumed for the innovation of the duration equation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035792
This paper provides an up-to-date survey of the main theoretical developments in ACD modeling and empirical studies using financial data. First, we discuss the properties of the standard ACD specification and its extensions, existing diagnostic tests, and joint models for the arrival times of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732848
This paper introduces the Markov-Switching Multifractal Duration (MSMD) model by adapting the MSM stochastic volatility … model of Calvet and Fisher (2004) to the duration setting. Although the MSMD process is exponential ß-mixing as we show in …-memory duration models in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise based on price durations of three major foreign exchange futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499581
because expected future cash-flow growth varies with the discount rates. The traditional Macaulay duration captures the effect … from the discount-rate channel. I propose a novel duration measure, the effective equity duration, to capture the effects … is hump-shaped because expected future cash flow growth increases with the discount rates. The effective equity duration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851441
Bivariate duration data frequently arise in economics, biostatistics and other areas. In "bivariate frailty models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339585
Portfolio sorting is ubiquitous in the empirical finance literature, where it has been widely used to identify pricing anomalies in different asset classes. Despite the popularity of portfolio sorting, little attention has been paid to the statistical properties of the procedure or to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523775
The paper advances the log-generalized gamma distribution as a suitable generator of conditional skewness. Based on the NYSE composite daily returns an asMA-asQGARCH model along with skewness dynamics is estimated. The results indicate a skewness that varies between sizeable negative skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398115
We develop a penalized two-pass regression with time-varying factor loadings. The penalization in the first pass enforces sparsity for the time-variation drivers while also maintaining compatibility with the no arbitrage restrictions by regularizing appropriate groups of coefficients. The second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487589
In this paper we come up with an alternate theoretical proof for the independence and unbiased property of extreme value robust volatility estimator with respect to the standard robust volatility estimator as proposed in the paper by Muneer & Maheswaran (2018b). We show that the robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023869