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Efficient posterior simulators for two GARCH models with generalized hyperbolic disturbances are presented. The first model, GHt-GARCH, is a threshold GARCH with a skewed and heavy-tailed error distribution; in this model, the latent variables that account for skewness and heavy tails are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105412
The multivariate split nomal distribution extends the usual multivariate normal distribution by a set of parameters which allows for skewness in the form of contraction/dilation along a subset of the prinicpal axis. The paper derives some properties for this distribution, including its moment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584774
This book presents in detail methodologies for the Bayesian estimation of single-regime and regime-switching GARCH models. These models are widespread and essential tools in financial econometrics and have, until recently, mainly been estimated using the classical Maximum Likelihood technique....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156202
In this paper, we study the kernel estimation of the copula density on unit square [0,1]X[0,1], and demonstrate the implementation of this methodology to equity and bond markets. There are two crucial problems associated with this estimator. First, the kernel estimator is biased at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020838
portfolio theory, the Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model or the RiskMetrics variance-covariance approach to VaR – rest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663369
This paper explains how the Gibbs sampler can be used to perform Bayesian inference on GARCH models. Although the Gibbs sampler is usually based on the analyti-cal knowledge of the full conditional posterior densities, such knowledge is not available in regression models with GARCH errors. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093585
This paper advances the application of Bayesian graphical structural vector autoregressive (BGSVAR) models to address the problem of impulse response estimation in VAR-based systems. The BGSVAR is designed as a robust empirical framework for impulse response estimation using information from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354565
Several studies on heritability in twins aim at understanding the different contribution of environmental and genetic factors to specific traits. Considering the National Merit Twin Study, our purpose is to correctly analyse the influence of the socioeconomic status on the relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969727
While demand models require a sound understanding of economic processes and should be flexible enough to capture nonlinearities, endogeneity can greatly hinder the identification of (nonlinear) causal relationships. To tackle these issues, we extend the instrument-free Gaussian copula approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344614