Showing 1 - 10 of 7,695
This paper examines the relationship between volatility and the probability of occurrence of expected extreme returns in the Canadian market. Four measures of volatility are examined: implied volatility from firm option prices, conditional volatility calculated using an EGARCH model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959255
.e., betas. We study the effect of different data sampling frequencies, forecast adjustments, and model combinations for beta … estimation. Using the entire U.S. stock universe and a sample period of more than 50 years, we find that a historical estimator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751164
The asymmetric moving average model (asMA) is extended to allow forasymmetric quadratic conditional heteroskedasticity (asQGARCH). Theasymmetric parametrization of the conditional variance encompassesthe quadratic GARCH model of Sentana (1995). We introduce a framework fortesting asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303289
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009666666
find that an estimation period of 250 days may be adequate to accurately forecast risk and factor exposures for an equally …In this article, the authors measure the impact of estimation error on latent factor model forecasts of portfolio risk … weighted portfolio. In contrast, the risk of a long-only minimum variance portfolio is substantially under-forecast even with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903199
We develop a simulation-based procedure to test for stock return predictability with multiple regressors. The process governing the regressors is left completely free and the test procedure remains valid in small samples even in the presence of non-normalities and GARCH-type effects in the stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946690
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292152
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012098937
This paper is the first to characterize the intraday performance of leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs), for which I introduce a superior volatility estimator for high-frequency analysis. Leveraged ETFs, which attempt to reproduce two or three times the daily performance of their underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133819
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the … microstructure noise has an adverse effect on both spot variance estimation and jump detection. In our approach we can analyze high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469