Showing 1 - 10 of 35,122
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511544
Abstract in Russian:В настоящем исследовании для определения ненаблюдаемых переменных разработаны полуструктурные макроэкономические модели для каждой страны региона...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294649
The implementation of any State’s economic policy involves first developing short-term, mid-term and long-term forecasts, as well as socio-economic development programs. Their quality is largely dependent on credible assessments of the current economic setting, whose findings will then inform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294883
Initial Gross Domestic Product (GDP) announcements are important economic signals that convey information on the state of the economy but contain substantial estimation error. We investigate how GDP estimation errors affect firms' real decisions and profitability. Consistent with theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852580
Following Giraitis, Kapetanios, and Yates (2014b), this paper uses kernel methods to estimate a seven variable time-varying (TV) vector autoregressive (VAR) model on the data set constructed by Smets and Wouters (2007). We apply an indirect inference method to map from this TV VAR to time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405253
In this paper we propose to use the common trends of the Mexican economy in order to predict economic activity one and two steps ahead. We exploit the cointegration properties of the macroeconomic time series, such that, when the series are I(1) and cointegrated, there is a factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011885720
We introduce a structural quantile vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Unlike standard VAR which models only the average interaction of the endogenous variables, quantile VAR models their interaction at any quantile. We show how to estimate and forecast multivariate quantiles within a recursive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012122051
In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast macroeconomic variables that combines two existing approaches to mixed-frequency data in DSGE models. The first existing approach estimates the DSGE model in a quarterly frequency and uses higher frequency auxiliary data only for forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013465707
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014280749
countries, and India is now one of the worst-affected country in the world. Researchers all around the world are racing to come …. However, in India the recovery rate has been far better than in other countries, and is steadily improving. Still in such a … India for the empirical analysis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419439