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´s monetary policy and augment them with communication indicators. First, we find that the ECB responded to risks to price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828078
. Our findings bear important implications for the ECB forecasting process and ultimately for its communication strategy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544414
. Our findings bear important implications for the ECB forecasting process and ultimately for its communication strategy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508654
policy communication strategy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014532443
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303844
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012618929
This paper investigates the impact of ECB communication of its assessment of the economic outlook on ex-ante inflation … uncertainty and sheds light on how central bank information shocks operate. The paper finds that ECB communication of new outlook … they are also useful for policymakers to define a communication strategy that attenuates ex-ante inflation uncertainty in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603073
Probabilistic job loss expectations elicited in the Consumer Expectations Survey have predictive power for future job loss. We find that an unexpected job loss leads to a negative consumption response, while this effect is muted for workers with ex-ante job loss expectations - consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014315230
This article analyses agents’ perception of the period of low inflation in recent years, in the context of a model in which these agents form their expectations on the basis of simple forecasting rules. The approach used allows a distinction to be drawn between which portion of the low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241253
Expectations are at the centre of modern macroeconomic theory and policymakers. In this paper, we examine the predictive ability and the consistency properties of macroeconomic expectations using data of the European Central Bank (ECB) Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961331