Showing 1 - 10 of 2,313
This chapter aims at assessing the long-run determinants and the short-run dynamics of inflation in each country … cointegrating VAR approach, which allows for a structural long-run analysis of inflation determinants along with an accurate … inflation differ in the countries belonging to the Euro Area, but also that cost-push factors have a considerable role in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726729
This study adopts the long-run structural VAR approach to analyse the determinants of inflation in the Euro Area … economy over the period 1985:1-2003:2. Theoretical relationships link inflation to markup and output gap, respectively. The … short-run dynamic properties of inflation are investigated using a structural VECM. Inflation is explained by a mixture of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732123
The paper analyzes the convergence of inflation rates in the group of more developed members of the Eurozone (core … countries). What are the characteristics and is the inflation process in these countries sufficiently homogeneous? Are the … analysed inflation rates converging, so that there is an indication that these countries tend to form the optimal currency area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281769
This study analyzes the question whether gold provides the ability of hedging against inflation from a new perspective …: First, we show that gold is partially able to hedge future inflation in the long-run and this ability is stronger for the … characterized by regime-dependence, implying that the usefulness of gold as an inflation hedge for investors crucially depends on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580064
Did the decline in inflation rates from 2012 to 2015 and the low levels of market-based inflation expectations lead to … de-anchored inflation dynamics in the euro area? This paper is the first time-varying event study to investigate the … reaction of inflation-linked swap (ILS) rates - a market-based measure of inflation expectations - to macroeconomic surprises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456474
We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010415789
inflation differ over time. We show that the impact varies considerably over time, depends on the source of increased liquidity … (M1, M3-M1 or credit) and the underlying state of the economy (asset price boom-bust, business cycle, inflation cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137632
Using daily data stemming from inflation-indexed markets, we analyse the effects of numerous macroeconomic surprises on … inflation compensation data - the sum of inflation expectations, risk and liquidity premia - in the euro area between 2 January … 2004 and 31 December 2007. Our results suggest that when gauging short and medium-term inflation compensations, market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138025
Did the decline in inflation rates from 2012 to 2015 and the low levels of market-based inflation expectations lead to de …-anchored inflation dynamics in the euro area? This paper is the first time-varying event study to investigate the reaction of inflation …-linked swap (ILS) rates – a market-based measure of inflation expectations – to macroeconomic surprises in the euro area. Compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963920
We estimate inflation risk-neutral densities (RNDs) in the Euro area since 2009. We use Euro inflation swaps and caps … the implicit RND for forward measures, like the five-on-five years inflation rate, which, although it is not directly … communication over the last few years. Specifically, the evolution of tails risks (associated with deflation and high inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954824