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because they assume a zero mean. The bias is especially large in deep recessions when potential output tends to be most …
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. Most of the mis-measurement in real time can be explained by the difficulty in predicting recessions and by overestimation …
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We analyze fiscal rules within a Monetary Union in the presence of (i) asymmetric information about member states' potential output and, therefore, output gap and (ii) bail-out among member states. In our framework, bail-out lowers the scope for signalling (discrimination) by member states...
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We analyze fiscal rules within a Monetary Union in the presence of (i) asymmetric information on member states' potential output and (ii) bail-out among member states. The first-best deficit is contingent on the cycle, that is, on member states' output gap. In the presence of asymmetric...
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