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the inflation rate. Second, economic activity measures have been in the focus of the ECB before the financial crisis broke … out. Third, over the last decade, the role of economic activity for ECB monetary policy has decreased so that inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162640
Do central banks in Eastern European countries react asymmetrically and in a non-linear fashion to changes in inflation … and output? We tackle this question by expanding the standard Taylor reaction function for the four inflation targeting … countries Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Romania. We do so taking explicitly inflation rates below or above target and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803795
This paper estimates forward-looking Taylor rules for the euro area. Using the asymmetries in inflation and cyclical … not there has been a synchronisation of business and inflation cycles among the EMU member countries over the years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003767708
Estimations of simple monetary policy rules are often very rigid. Standard practice requires that a decision is made as to which indicators the central bank is assumed to respond to, ignoring the data-rich environment in which policy-makers typically form their decisions. However, the choice of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973570
The ECB's one size monetary policy is unlikely to fit all euro area members, which raises a discussion about how much monetary policy stress this causes at the national level. We measure monetary policy stress as the difference between actual ECB interest rates and Taylor-rule implied optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010483271
The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) are shadowed by professionals and academic economists who provide a separate policy rate recommendation in advance of the central bank's announcement. We explore differences between shadow and actual committee decisions based on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009235966
(close to) zero central banks can influence the infl ation expectations via quantitative easing. The unobservable inflation … inflation gap, money growth and the risk spread, the response to asset price inflation becomes more pronounced during the crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102781
(close to) zero central banks can influence the inflation expectations via quantitative easing. The unobservable inflation … inflation gap, money growth and the risk spread, the response to asset price inflation becomes more pronounced during the crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103372
Policymakers often use the output gap, a noisy signal of economic activity, as a guide for setting monetary policy. Noise in the data argues for policy caution. At the same time, the zero bound on nominal interest rates constrains the central bank's ability to stimulate the economy during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104578
inflation from the ECB's inflation target. The results provide support for two alternative interpretations of the definition of … price stability. First, the ECB dislikes inflation rates above two percent more than rates below two percent. Second, the … ECB policy responses to past inflation gaps are symmetric with respect to a target of 1.6 - 1.7 percent. The out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900912