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This paper investigates the impact of ECB communication of its assessment of the economic outlook on ex-ante inflation … they are also useful for policymakers to define a communication strategy that attenuates ex-ante inflation uncertainty in … uncertainty and sheds light on how central bank information shocks operate. The paper finds that ECB communication of new outlook …
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We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break …-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector … autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to identify US and EA specific inflation expectations shocks. By modeling the …
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Using intra-day data, we assess the impact of the press release on euro area monetary data on the different segments of the euro area yield curve. For this purpose, we estimate a relation between the "news" or "surprise" in the released data for annual M3 growth and the move in the interest...
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