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Since the onset of the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, credit risk spreads in Europe have diverged. Despite this divergence, credit risk comoves strongly within certain country groups such as the eurozone periphery. We seek to answer what the determinants of the observed pattern of credit risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486057
This paper examines the contagion of the eurozone debt crisis to developed and emerging stock markets around the world. Using the VAR methodology, and changes in sovereign bond yields and stock returns of the crisis countries as proxies for the eurozone debt crisis, this paper finds strong and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049332
This study establishes time-frequency networks of sovereign and bank contagion in the eurozone over the period 2009-2021. By applying discrete wavelet transformation, daily CDS premia of sovereigns and banks are decomposed into multi-horizon components to specify directed and dependence-weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292566
This study applies the asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (A-DCC) model in order to investigate the correlation dynamics among the Greek market and Eurozone during the recent debt crisis. Moreover, research employs copula functions in order to measure the correlation among Greek and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089927
We offer a detailed empirical investigation of the European sovereign debt crisis based on the theoretical model by Arghyrou and Tsoukalas (2010). We find evidence of a marked shift in market pricing behaviour from a 'convergence-trade' model before August 2007 to one driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008664984
This article, originally published at www.roubini.com on 7 February 2010, spells out our two-currency EMU proposal as a plan of last resort for resolving the present EMU sovereign-debt crisis. The key ingredients of our proposal involve a temporary split of the euro into two currencies, both run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758509
This paper argues that the loose monetary policy of two of the world’s most important financial institutions-the US Federal Reserve Board and the European Central Bank-were ultimately responsible for the outburst of global financial crisis of 2008 - 09. Unusually low interest rates in 2001 -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402491
We investigate the relationship of the market pricing of sovereign risk to default, through CDS spreads for 16 Eurozone countries during 2008q1-2013q3. We take into account, through appropriate non-linear GMM estimations the endogeneity problem. We focus on “fiscal space” (DEBT or FISCAL),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976894
This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735972
This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. We use a two-step empirical approach. First, we apply a time-varying parameter panel modelling framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011759005