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The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419361
We examine the indicator property of the monetary indicator for inflation. Using a P*-model, Svensson shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476494
This paper reviews the usefulness of monetary conditions in the euro area as leading indicators for aggregate demand conditions. Monetary conditions are measured with the MCI concept proposed by the Bank of Canada, and with the yield spread. A central result is that causality runs in both ways...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474154
-term interest rate into an expected inflation and an ex-ante real interest rate component. The latter may be a useful indicator of … rate series and the stationary component of the real interest rate is estimated and shocks to expected inflation and the ex …-ante real rate are identified using the long-run restriction that only shocks to expected inflation have long-run effects on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476385
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000647288
We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003884937
Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the … quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error … inflation. The response of the HICP is strongly positive. Other factors such as raw material prices and unit labor costs also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477146
With the beginning of the post‐Maoist era, the focus of Chinese foreign policy shifted from ideology and revolution to pragmatism and reform. Chinese scholars in the field of International Relations (IR) are now encouraged to develop abstract scientific analyses of China's international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009526063
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012878617
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