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useful for predicting inflation. In addition, countries where slack (and potential growth) is overestimated to a larger …
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Economic growth has tumbled across Europe, inflation remains too high, and financial sector risks have materialized …. Taming sticky inflation while avoiding financial stress and a recession will require tighter macroeconomic policies …
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Since the outbreak of the financial crisis in 2007, the level and volatility of Euribor – OIS differentials have increased significantly. According to the extant literature, this variability is mainly explained by credit and liquidity risk premia. I provide evidence that part of the...
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The last stage of the current economic crisis is mainly focused in Europe and, especially, in Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain. The severity of their public sector crisis could be a serious problem for the future of the Euro and the European project. As a consequence of it, sovereign bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122709
This paper shows how a measure of bank-sovereign contagion can be extracted from CDS spreads using conditional Copula functions. I estimate the probability of a European bank to experience extreme upward co-movements in CDS spreads together with its home sovereign. Two main results are obtained....
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