, unemployment and nonparticipation for each country. We develop a decomposition measuring the contribution of these transition …

We ask whether sectoral shocks and the subsequent labor reallocation are responsible for unemployment within selected … is linked to unemployment in country specific dynamic models. For Spain, the ADL-model estimation reveals a significant … impact of sectoral reallocation on unemployment that goes beyond usual business cycle patterns. In Italy, there is weaker yet …

While unemployment rates in Europe declined after the global financial crisis until 2018/2019, the incidence of long …-term unemployment, the share of people who have been unemployed for >1 year to the total unemployed, remained high. Moreover, the COVID …-19 pandemic could aggravate the long-term unemployment. This paper explores the factors associated with long …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …