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We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw economies as operating below their potential. In real time, output gaps tend to have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859867
The goal of the paper consists in investigating if comovements in some selected time series are common to various countries and periods of time. To do so, we use 18 economic time series (GDP and demand components, employment and wages, money and prices, interest rates and stock prices) between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014155345
Several European countries adopted inflation targeting as a monetary policy strategy during the 1990s. We evaluate the impact of the establishment of this policy framework on the dynamics of inflation for three countries: United Kingdom, Spain and Finland. We find that inflation targeting was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014027799
The effect of forward guidance on interest rate expectations in small, open economies is often described as heterogeneous. There are examples when financial markets adjusted term structure to reflect interest rate forecasts provided in the projections published by the central banks. On the other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870852
This introductory essay briefly summarizes the eleven empirical studies of price setting and price adjustment that are included in this special issue. The studies, which use data from several European countries, were conducted as part of the European Central Bank's Inflation Persistence Network
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134926
This introductory essay briefly summarizes the eleven empirical studies of price setting and price adjustment that are included in this special issue. The studies, which use data from several European countries, were conducted as part of the European Central Bank's Inflation Persistence Network
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123409
We show that "zombie credit" - cheap credit to impaired firms - has a disinflationary effect. By helping distressed firms to stay afloat, such credit creates excess production capacity, thereby putting downward pressure on product prices. Granular European data on inflation, firms, and banks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391508
shocks. The welfare gains of a small country joining the eurozone depend on the extent to which the benefits (if existent) of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000413193
We study the effects that the Maastricht treaty, the creation of the ECB, and the Euro changeover had on the dynamics of European business cycles using a panel VAR and data from ten European countries - seven from the Euro area and three outside of it. There are slow changes in the features of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070959