This paper reinterprets Maganelli's (2009) idea of "Forecasting with Judgment" to obtain a dynamic algorithm for combining survey data and time series models for macroeconomic forecasting. Unlike existing combination approaches which typically assign weights to alternative forecasts, the...

Directors' Dealings have been extensively analysed especially for U.S. and U.K. stock markets. This event study is meant to bridge the gap for Germany, Italy and the Netherlands. The question to be investigated is whether board members and other company insiders earn abnormal returns with market...

This paper tracks a structured financial innovation, the commercial mortgage-backed security which is not as novel as current discussion around the sub-prime crisis let assume. However, CMBS as credit-derivatives feature various factors that influence the risks arising from a commercial-mortgage...

Welche Einflussfaktoren bestimmen die Spreadentwicklung im Kapitalmarktsegment der Banken im Verlauf der Finanzkrise? Unter Verwendung der Regressionsanalyse werden die Determinanten von Asset-Swap- (ASW) und Credit-Default-Swap- (CDS) Spreads ausgewählter europäischer Banken im Zeitraum April...

Implied Base Correlations of Single-tranche CDOs on standardized Credit Indices such as the iTraxx Europe have been used in the credit derivatives market for price communication. During the financial crisis, implied correlations have been quite volatile indicating the growing fraction of...

After the onset of the subprime crisis and the European debt crisis, credit default swaps (CDS) have seen a strong increase in usage. Particularly sovereign CDS protection has been sought after, paralleling the rise in sovereign debt levels, slumps in GDP growth and political tensions in...

Directors' Dealings have been extensively analysed especially for U.S. and U.K. stock markets. This event study is meant to bridge the gap for Germany, Italy and the Netherlands. The question to be investigated is whether board members and other company insiders earn abnormal returns with market...