Due to data availability, most theories in international economics are tested by using data from developed countries. The J-Curve phenomenon, which summarises the short-run response of the trade balance to currency depreciation, is no exception. Egypt has kept close track of its commodity trade...

The 'S-Curve' phenomenon postulates that while cross correlation coefficients between past values of the trade balance and current exchange rate could be negative, the same cross-correlation between future values of the trade balance and current exchange rate could be positive. In this study, we...