, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows …

revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general …-to-specific testing strategy reveals a recursive structure where only the unemployment rate and long-term interest rates are directly …

below the ECB’s inflation target. Therefore, a readjustment of the infl ation target seems unjustified. Furthermore, as the … ECB can expect inflation to return to its target, it possibly can accelerate tapering its unconventional monetary policy …