inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of subindices of the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) as opposed to … distinguishes between different forecast horizons, HICP components and inflation measures. Various model selection procedures are … component does not necessarily help forecast year-on-year inflation twelve months ahead …

the headline CPI, exclusion-based 'cores', and trimmed means as measures of underlying inflation. Overall, we find that … support to the use of trimmed means as useful measures of underlying inflation at the current juncture where the growth of … China and other emerging markets is having two offsetting effects on global inflation. Whereas some central banks have …

including OOH in the HICP to derive a new inflation index. We discuss the conceptual and measurement issues involved …. We show that since 2011 the estimated impact of including OOH in HICP annual inflation, based on either the "net … suggests that including OOH based on the rental equivalence approach decreases the cyclicality of the new inflation index …

The shifts in household consumption caused by the coronavirus pandemic affect inflation measurement in the euro area … via the updating of product weights. We propose a decomposition of the inflation rate, measured by the annual percentage …, considering the evolution of measurement rules over time and marking differences to a decomposition into pure price change and …