Showing 1 - 10 of 2,329
indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604913
Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433361
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating … in an all-out horserace. -- Information content of money ; inflation forecasting ; New Keynesian model ; DSGE model ; P …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003797937
longer-run inflation developments in the euro area. Employing an eclectic approach we consider various relevant theories …-frequency variations of inflation. Money growth is found to be causal for inflation only if other variables are omitted, which we therefore … führt auf die Arbeitslosenrate und die langfristigen Zinsen als kausal für die niederfrequenten Variationen der Inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915318
revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988717
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991202
This paper investigates the properties of monetary and credit aggregates as indicators for future price developments in the euro area. The forecasting performance of models including indicators based on money and credit is assessed in a simulated out-of-sample forecasting exercise for forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320283
indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316597
compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of … the crisis, predicting a decade of stagnation for the south and inflation for the north. Keynesian demand policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291507