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to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …
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-time forecasting exercise, the authors show that including additional factors - that reflect financial sector conditions - improves …
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Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error correction model with quarterly data for the Euro Area...
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Despite notable improvements in the labour market since 2013, wage growth in the euro area was subdued and substantially overpredicted in 2013-17. This paper summarises the findings of an ESCB expert group on the reasons for low wage growth and provides comparable analyses on wage developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063794
models following the Great Recession in order to improve their fit to the data and their forecasting performance. We employ a … in models of this class estimated for the Euro Area do not lead to substantial gains. With regard to forecasting …
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