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Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models combine microeconomic behavioural foundations with a full-system Bayesian likelihood estimation approach using key macro-economic variables. Because of the usefulness of this class ofmodels for addressing questions regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317112
gefühlte Inflation im Euroraum bei 4,5 %, während die offiziell gemessene Inflationsrate 1 % betrug. Das könnte daran liegen … the officially measured inflation rates. For example, according to survey results, perceived inflation in the first … quarter of 2021 in the euro area was 4.5 %, while the officially measured inflation rate was 1 %. This could be due to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660848
The quantity theory of money predicts a positive relationship between monetary growth and inflation over long …-run horizons. However, in the short-run, transitory shocks to either money or inflation can obscure the inflationary signal …. A 'money augmented' Phillips curve that links inflation to money tightness and demand shocks of medium to long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318632
variables, such as consumer price inflation, the growth of industrial production, the stock price index, the exchange rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517317
, notwithstanding that inflation in some countries tends to converge towards the euro area level. Overa11, inflation persistence has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327545
Headline inflation in the euro area jumped to more than three percent in the summer after years of relatively low … inflation rates well below the target of close to but below two percent set by the ECB until July 2021. One of the main reasons … for the rise in inflation is the increase in energy prices since the beginning of 2021. However, there are further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667065
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316626
Using daily data stemming from inflation-indexed markets, we analyse the effects of numerous macroeconomic surprises on … inflation compensation data - the sum of inflation expectations, risk and liquidity premia - in the euro area between 2 January … 2004 and 31 December 2007. Our results suggest that when gauging short and medium-term inflation compensations, market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138025
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963916