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A Bottom-Up Reduced Form Phillips Curve for the Euro Area
McGregor, Thomas; Toscani, Frederik - 2022
We develop a bottom-up model of inflation in the euro area based on a set of augmented Phillips curves for seven subcomponents of core inflation and auxiliary regressions for non-core items. We use the model’s disaggregated structure to explore which factors drove the deterioration in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264528
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Adjustment in EMU : is convergence assured?
Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich; Größl, Ingrid; … - 2009
Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425867
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Analysing convergence in Europe using a non-linear single factor model
Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir - 2008
We investigate convergence in European price level, unit labor cost, income, and productivity data over the period of … extremely flexible on order to model a large number of transition paths to convergence. We find regional clusters in consumer … indicate the existence of three convergence clubs without strong regional linkages; Italy and Germany are not converging to any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426359
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Does the dispersion of unit labor cost dynamics in the EMU imply long-run divergence? : results from a comparison with the United States of America and Germany
Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2007
inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, cointegration tests and error-correction models …. All in all we cannot reject convergence of ULC growth in EMU, however, country-specific deviations from the rest of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426361
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Till labor cost do us part : on the long run convergence of EMU countries
Pancotto, Francesca; Pericoli, Filippo Maria - 2011
A sustainable long-run pattern in the relative competitiveness of euro area countries is a key factor for the survivorship of the monetary union. We analyze the issue focussing on unit labor cost dynamics using cointegration analysis for the whole economy and for the manufacturing sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735051
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Adjustment in EMU: is convergence assured?
Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich; Größl, Ingrid; … - 2009
adjustment, the adjustment to a price shock in EMU might take several decades. Keywords: EMU, convergence, stability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915319
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Structural Adjustment of São Paulo Sugarcane Plantation in the Euro 7 Context
Shinkoda, Marcelo Henrique; da Costa Silva, Maria Micheliana - 2021
This article analyzes the replacement of Sugarcane by the adequate crop considering the producer's choices according to the dimensions of soil, relief, climate, and precipitation in São Paulo state, Brazil. The panorama is the hypothetical end of the combustion engine in the Euro 7 emissions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213010
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Biases in Survey Inflation Expectations : Evidence from the Euro Area
Chen, Jiaqian; Górnicka, Lucyna; Zdarek, Vaclav - 2022
This paper documents five facts about inflation expectations in the euro area. First, individual inflation forecasts overreact to individual news. Second, the cross-section average of individual forecasts of inflation underreact to shocks initially, but overreacts in the medium term. Third,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238518
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Anhaltende Divergenz der Lohnstückkostenentwicklung im Euroraum problematisch
Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich - In: DIW Wochenbericht 74 (2007) 22, pp. 349-357
Die Wachstumsschwäche in einigen europäischen Ländern wie Portugal und Italien in der ersten Hälfte dieses Jahrzehnts sowie anhaltend hohe Inflationsraten und ein Bauboom in Spanien haben zu einer Debatte darüber geführt, ob sich möglicherweise die einzelnen Länder der Eurozone...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601730
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Anhaltende Divergenz bei Inflations- und Lohnentwicklung in der Eurozone: Gefahr für die Währungsunion?
Dullien, Sebastian; Fritsche, Ulrich - In: Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 76 (2007) 4, pp. 56-76
Dieser Aufsatz untersucht, inwieweit die jüngste Debatte um mögliche Divergenzen in der Eurozone tatsächlich einen Grund zur Besorgnis aufzählt. Dabei wird argumentiert, dass die häufig übliche Definition von Divergenzen als die Veränderung der Standardabweichung bei Inflation und...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377812