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Membership in a monetary union implies stronger incentives for nominal wage flexibility in the form of wage indexation and shorter contract length than nonmembership. For example, entry into a monetary union may cause a move from a non-indexation to an indexation equilibrium. But more wage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410646
An often heard view is that exchange rate variability will decrease for a country that joins the EMU. This is not necessarily true. Both real and nominal exchange rate variability increase under certain circumstances when asymmetric demand shocks occur inside or outside the union. These results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011589019
The uncovered interest rate parity condition lies at the heart of the "impossible trinity", stating that the three objectives of fixed exchange rates, free capital flows, and independent monetary policy cannot be pursued simultaneously. We argue that although monetary unification does indeed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926988
It is conventionally held that countries are worse off by forming a monetary union when it comes to macroeconomic stabilization. However, this conventional view relies on assuming that monetary policy is conducted optimally. Relaxing the assumption of optimal monetary policy not only uncovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202935
The uncovered interest rate parity condition lies at the heart of the "impossible trinity", stating that the three objectives of fixed exchange rates, free capital flows, and independent monetary policy cannot be pursued simultaneously. We argue that although monetary unification does indeed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851840
This paper studies monetary regime choice between monetary union and flexible exchange rate regime in a large open economy framework. The classical approach emphasizes that monetary unions are inherently costly because a single interest rate cannot respond effectively to different shocks of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858555
The European sovereign debt crisis is characterized by the simultaneous surge in borrowing costs in the GIPS countries after 2008. We present a theory, which can account for the behavior of sovereign bond spreads in Southern Europe between 1998 and 2012. Our key theoretical argument is related...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027003
When real wages in an economy no longer reflect productivity, normally devaluations of the currency restore international price-competitiveness via imported inflation that reduces real wages. This instrument is not available in a currency union. The job has to be done by reductions in nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928858
This paper investigates the monetary regime choice between a monetary union and a flexible exchange rate regime in a large open economy framework. The classical approach argues that a monetary union should be established between countries with positively correlated shocks so that the cost of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241862
This paper uses a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with three countries to study the effects of implementation of an open monetary union on international fluctuations. We consider the effects of unanticipated country specific shocks on technology and government spending. We compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147295