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Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error correction model with quarterly data for the Euro Area...
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; (iv) newer generation Phillips curve models with several timevarying features are a promising avenue for forecasting …
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the beginning of 2018. They also have performed well in forecasting the direction of inflation. In terms of the …
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performs favourably compared to the Eurosystem/ECB staff macroeconomic projections, (iv) forecasting performance deteriorates …
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