Since the beginning of 2010, the Euro Area faces a severe sovereign debt crisis, now generally known as the Euro Crisis. While the Euro Crisis has its origin in Greece, problems have now spread to several other European countries as well. Dynamic conditional correlation models (DCC) are...

Die Europäische Zentralbank hat im Zuge der Finanzkrise und der sich verschlechternden realwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung im Euroraum die Leitzinsen auf ein historisches Allzeittief gesenkt. Welche Risiken birgt die Niedrigzinspolitik? Nach Ansicht von Michael Schubert, Commerzbank AG, Frankfurt...

Der Ukraine-Krieg belastet durch das Emporschnellen der Energiepreise und den Produktionsstopp in wichtigen ukrainischen Zulieferbetrieben unmittelbar die wirtschaftliche Aktivität in Deutschland. Daher werden zwei Szenarien prognostiziert, die die kriegs- und sanktionsbedingten Unsicherheiten...

Der Ukraine-Krieg belastet durch das Emporschnellen der Energiepreise und den Produktionsstopp in wichtigen ukrainischen Zulieferbetrieben unmittelbar die wirtschaftliche Aktivität in Deutschland. Daher werden zwei Szenarien prognostiziert, die die kriegs- und sanktionsbedingten Unsicherheiten...

This study examines major reform proposals of EU fiscal rules from an economic and legal perspective. We disassemble the reform proposals in their components and analyse them in their specific proposed form in comparison, thereby shedding light on what is legally possible, economically sensible,...

We examine the effects of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) gradually introduced by the European Central Bank from September 2014 onwards. Studying the short-term reaction of financial markets after APP press releases, we analyse the development of bond yields and spreads around these releases....

Since the beginning of 2010, the Euro Area faces a severe sovereign debt crisis, now generally known as the Euro Crisis. While the Euro Crisis has its origin in Greece, problems have now spread to several other European countries as well. Dynamic conditional correlation models (DCC) are...

We derive counterfactual national interest rate paths for the 17 Euro Area countries for the period 1999 to 2012 to approximate the interest rates countries would have implemented had they still been able to conduct independent monetary policy. We find that prior to the financial crisis the...

Against the background of the European Commission's reform plans of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) this policy brief uses the macroeconometric multi-country model NiGEM to simulate the macroeconomic implications of the most relevant reform options from 2024 onwards. Next to a return to the...