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I estimate regime-dependent spillover effects from government spending shocks across the members of the European Monetary Union (EMU). I use panel regressions for a total of 14 EMU economies from 1997 to 2022. Government spending shocks are defined by unexpected innovations to forecast...
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We estimate a panel VAR model that captures cross-country, dynamic interlinkages for 10 euro area countries using quarterly data for the period 1999-2016. Our analysis suggests that fiscal spillovers are significant and tend to be larger for countries with close trade and financial links as...
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calibration results show that consumption multipliers to be small and negative. However, the output multiplier is positive and …
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closely related to the harshness of fiscal austerity. Cumulative multiplier estimates are found to vary in a range from 1.4 to … 2.1, depending on the data source used to identify the intensity of fiscal consolidation. Given these multiplier values …
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