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We nowcast and forecast Austrian economic activity, namely real gross domestic product (GDP), consumption and investment, which are available at a quarterly frequency. While nowcasting uses data up to (and including) the quarter to be predicted, forecasting uses only data up to the previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432187
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012204935
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013431371
Italian inflation has risen to 9.4% in September 2022. Energy goods have been the primary driver of the inflation surge … Italy's industries heavily rely on gas as an energy source, many energy-intensive sectors experienced greater producer price … poorest groups of the population, due to their large share of expenditures on energy and food. From the end of 2021 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013461016
Ukraine and the heavy increases in energy prices made things worse and brought inflation to over 10%. The government did not … coming years. A stronger use of regulatory measures and direct public involvement in the energy, housing and potentially the … food price sector might be required if the current energy supply crisis and the transformation to a low carbon economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463960
Ukraine and the heavy increases in energy prices made things worse and brought inflation to over 10%. The government did not … coming years. A stronger use of regulatory measures and direct public involvement in the energy, housing and potentially the … food price sector might be required if the current energy supply crisis and the transformation to a low carbon economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463962
Euro area GDP and components are nowcast and forecast one quarter ahead. Based on a dataset of 163 series comprising the relevant monthly indicators, simple bridge equations with one explanatory variable are estimated for each. The individual forecasts generated by each equation are then pooled,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604971
Euro area GDP and components are nowcast and forecast one quarter ahead. Based on a dataset of 163 series comprising the relevant monthly indicators, simple bridge equations with one explanatory variable are estimated for each. The individual forecasts generated by each equation are then pooled,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316489
Economic policy makers, international organisations and private-sector forecasters commonly use short-term forecasts of real GDP growth based on monthly indicators, such as industrial production, retail sales and confidence surveys. An assessment of the reliability of such tools and of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317625
This paper presents a quarterly global model linking individual country vector errorcorrecting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific foreign variables. The global VAR (GVAR) model is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area being treated as a single economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604614