Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …

estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and …

Inflation rates in the euro area have reached historic highs due in large part to high energy prices. As the euro area … is a net importer of energy, one refers to this inflation as imported inflation. There is a danger that these high … inflation rates will become entrenched in inflation expectations. This would not only imply that high inflation rates will …

Whereas strong demand is a key factor driving high inflation in the US, inflation in the Euro Area is mainly due to … prevent second-round effects. Long run inflation expectations — as measured by the survey of professional forecasters — still … seem to be well anchored. The ECB's announced tightening intends to dampen rising household's inflation expectations. Given …

estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and … measure appears superior to all others in all respects. - Output gap ; real-time data ; euro area ; inflation forecasts ; real …

After 2012, inflation has been unexpectedly low across much of the developed world and economists speak of a “missing … inflation” puzzle, namely inflation was expected to be higher on the back of an ongoing recovery. This paper investigates the … causes and consequences of low inflation in the euro area after 2012 and analyses whether monetary policy has been successful …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …

Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protractedperiod of low (and below …-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened theiranchoring. Testing their sensitivity to inflation and macroeconomic news … robustness to our conclusions. Results point to a significantimpact of inflation news over recent years that had not been …