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The time-varying evolution of inflation risks
Korobilis, Dimitris; Landau, Bettina; Musso, Alberto; … - 2021
This paper develops a Bayesian quantile regression model with time-varying parameters (TVPs) for forecasting in ation risks. The proposed parametric methodology bridges the empirically established benefits of TVP regressions for forecasting in ation with the ability of quantile regression to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643282
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How Have Inflation Dynamics Changed over Time? Evidence from the Euro Area and USA
Oinonen, Sami - 2013
This paper analyzes euro area and U.S. inflation dynamics since the beginning of the 1990s by estimating New Keynesian … hybrid Phillips curves with time-varying parameters. We measure inflation expectations by subjective forecasts from Consensus … results indicate that in both economic areas the inflation dynamics have steadily become more forward-looking over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081651
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Euro-Zone Inflation Rates : Stationary or Regime-Wise Stationary Processes
Lopez, Claude - 2012
-zone inflation rates are stationary and others are regime-wise stationary. While such results may reconcile some of the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712783
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Modelling Ireland's exchange rates : from EMS to EMU
Bond, Derek (contributor); Harrison, Michael J. (contributor) - 2007
This paper attempts to model the nominal and real exchange rate for Ireland, relative to Germany and the UK from 1975 to 2003. It offers an overview of the theory of purchasing power parity (Ppp), focusing particularly on likely sources of nonlinearity. Potential difficulties in placing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003616696
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Modelling Ireland's Exchange Rates : From EMS to EMU
Bond, Derek - 2007
This paper attempts to model the nominal and real exchange rate for Ireland, relative to Germany and the UK from 1975 to 2003. It offers an overview of the theory of purchasing power parity (Ppp), focusing particularly on likely sources of nonlinearity. Potential difficulties in placing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775859
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Economic recovery and inflation : this policy contribution was prepared for the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament (ECON) as an input for the Mon...
Dąbrowski, Marek - 2018
In the last decade, advanced economies, including the euro area, experienced deflationary pressures caused by the global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and the anti-crisis policies that followed - in particular, the new financial regulations (which led to a deep decline in the money multiplier)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852813
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Liquidity, inflation and asset prices in a time-varying framework for the euro area
Baumeister, Christiane; Durinck, Eveline; Peersman, Gert - 2008
inflation differ over time. We show that the impact varies considerably over time, depends on the source of increased liquidity … (M1, M3-M1 or credit) and the underlying state of the economy (asset price boom-bust, business cycle, inflation cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506663
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Liquidity, Inflation and Asset Prices in a Time-Varying Framework for the Euro Area
Baumeister, Christiane - 2010
inflation differ over time. We show that the impact varies considerably over time, depends on the source of increased liquidity … (M1, M3-M1 or credit) and the underlying state of the economy (asset price boom-bust, business cycle, inflation cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137632
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Unravelling the secrets of euro area inflation : a frequency decomposition approach
Gerdesmeier, Dieter; Roffia, Barbara; Reimers, Hans-Eggert - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927935
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Did Inflation Really Soar after the Euro Cash Changeover? Indirect Evidence from ATM Withdrawals
Angelini, Paolo; Lippi, Francesco - 2006
much sharper rise in inflation than measured by the official price indices, whose quality was called into question. In this … determinants. Since these data do not rely on official inflation statistics, they provide an independent check for the latter. We … official inflation statistics. We do not find evidence in support of this hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058341