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We examine the popular recipe in the title by means of an AD-LM-AS two-country model of the EMU, controlling for asymmetry in demand and supply shocks and in the monetary-policy transmission mechanism. Unless structural symmetry holds and symmetric shock occurs, national automatic stabilizers,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014098407
This article was invited from the author in response to the June 2022 Bruegel.com blog post by Zsolt Darvas – and see the separate article in this issue – about the decision to let Croatia into the euro area while keeping Bulgaria out; and intended to elicit a view from Bulgaria. The author...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256536
We use quanto credit default swaps to analyze the impact of a credit event in the Euro zone on the Euro-Dollar exchange rate. In light of the European debt crisis, market participants are willing to pay more for protection against a sovereign credit event if the payment in such an event is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822373
This brief provides a short guiding tour to the Euro zone crisis. It looks at the current situation, the context in which the zone has to deal with such a situation, the way we got here, and the possible way out. The latter outlines a set of minimum steps required to make the euro sustainable
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056917
Why do large European banks lobby for monetary union? We show in a game-theoretic model that monetary union can trigger a change in the structure of the market for international banking transactions with asymmetric effects on profits: large banks are induced to cooperate internationally and gain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774713
Euro area data show a positive connection between sovereign and bank risk, which increases with banks' and sovereign long run fragility. We build a macro model with banks subject to incentive problems and liquidity risk (in the form of liquidity based banks' runs) which provides a link between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226188
Based on a review of the analytical underpinnings of the effects of the NSFR on banks' choices, this paper attempts to relate banks' strategies to developments in the value of the ratio in the euro area. In spite of a not-so-near implementation date, the evidence is that the NSFR already matters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071580
Are the grand theories of integration still relevant today and capable of describing integration in the European Union? Have the general principles of the grand theories lost their ability to accurately describe European integration? For policy makers and scholars that rely on theories, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956069
Beyond financial stability as the European Banking Union's primary objective, the European capital market integration provides an impetus for deepening bank integration and greater financial market efficiency. This article proposes an empirical framework to assess the dynamics of euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483954
Starting in June 2014, the European Central Bank (ECB) stepped up its monetary accommodation in order to counter a too prolonged period of low inflation in the euro area. This article offers a narrative of the monetary policy measures taken up to December 2016 and a review of the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649375