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realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form … differences in the adjustment path to the shocks to the economy when agent form expectations using our learning approach compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935830
realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form … path to the shocks to the economy when agent form expectations using our learning approach compared to expectations formed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128293
machine learning algorithms. We find that a neural network performs best out-of-sample. Thus, we use this algorithm to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013350856
adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real-time euro area data vintages …, covering 2001Q1-2019Q4. The adaptive learning model obtains better within-sample fit for all vintages used for estimation in … forecast horizon, while the adaptive learning model predicts better for the outer quarters. …
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Price inflation in the euro area has been stable and low since the Global Financial Crisis, despite notable changes in output and unemployment. We show that an increasing share of high markup firms is part of the explanation of why inflation remained stubbornly stable and low in the euro area...
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