Showing 1 - 10 of 22,692
Recent general equilibrium models prescribe predictable dynamics in the volatility surfaces that are implied by … volatilities from over-the-counter options on eight different currencies, quoted against the Euro. We examine implied volatility … volatility trading strategies in the absence of transaction costs. Comparing across competing models, our results suggest that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066121
The implied volatility of any stock market can be used in order to measure the future expectations of risk and returns … great importance to examine the implied volatility of the Greek stock market and measure its' relevance with the implied … volatility of the German stock market. The reason that these stock markets have been selected relies on the fact that the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024994
volatility, which has not been studied earlier. The study examines squared stock index returns of equity in 35 markets, including … of volatility. Results from the conditional heteroskedasticity long memory model show the evidence of long memory in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022043
This study examines the return (price) and volatility spillovers among the money, stock, foreign exchange and bond … Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) [Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers …-2012), suggest a high level of total return and volatility spillover effects throughout the sample, indicating that, on average, more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100024
This study examines the return (price) and volatility spillovers among the money, stock, foreign exchange and bond … Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) [Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers …-2012), suggest a high level of total return and volatility spillover effects throughout the sample, indicating that, on average, more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403137
evaluates the performance of the models. The probit model with the industrial production index and the realized volatility as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312197
The primary objective of this paper is to propose two nonlinear extensions for macroeconomic forecasting using large datasets. First, we propose an alternative technique for factor estimation, i.e., kernel principal component analysis, which allows the factors to have a nonlinear relationship to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065110
This paper describes an algorithm to compute the distribution of conditional forecasts, i.e. projections of a set of variables of interest on future paths of some other variables, in dynamic systems. The algorithm is based on Kalman filtering methods and is computationally viable for large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047977
This paper proposes a new method of forecasting euro area quarterly real GDP that uses areawide indicators, which are derived by optimally pooling the information contained in national indicator series. Following the ideas of predictive modeling, we construct the area-wide indicators by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753479
leverage and asset volatility. We conclude that the bilateral cross-sector exposures in the euro area financial system … financial intermediaries playing a key role in the processes. High financial leverage and high asset volatility are found to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969268