We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …

We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …

gefühlte Inflation im Euroraum bei 4,5 %, während die offiziell gemessene Inflationsrate 1 % betrug. Das könnte daran liegen … the officially measured inflation rates. For example, according to survey results, perceived inflation in the first … quarter of 2021 in the euro area was 4.5 %, while the officially measured inflation rate was 1 %. This could be due to the …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …

credibility a pegged exchange rate regime yields a lower loss compared to an inflation targeting policy, even if this policy … for a policy-maker to adopt inflation targeting over a strict exchange rate targeting regime. Full credibility is not a … precondition, but exposure to foreign and financial shocks and high steady state inflation make joining the EMU relatively more …

area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB's response to inflation was more forceful when … inflation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB's policy can be characterised as symmetric, and we quantify the … bound and a low neutral real rate, and find that it prescribes a stronger response to inflation and the output gap when …

these trends requires targeting a significantly positive inflation target. Relative price trends shift the optimal inflation … account in the present paper may push up the optimal inflation targets further. The welfare costs associated with targeting … zero inflation turn out to be substantial and range between 2.1% and 4.5% of consumption in present-value terms …

these trends requires targeting a significantly positive inflation target. Relative price trends shift the optimal inflation … account in the present paper may push up the optimal inflation targets further. The welfare costs associated with targeting … zero inflation turn out to be substantial and range between 2.1% and 4.5% of consumption in present-value terms …